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The production this season will help set the stage for the next competitive Nationals' team. With Shane Baz, Yonny Chirinos and Tyler Glasnow out from possible rotation spots in addition to relievers Nick Anderson and Pete Fairbanks, that's a lot of slack that needs picking up. This article lays out all of our preseason MLB team ratings and projections for 2022, including our MLB projected standings, MLB postseason seed projections and various projection details such as final win-loss records, playoff chances, and World Series win odds. Carlos Rodon is gone, but Michael Kopech is waiting in the wings to take over as the No. Weak offense. The Braves, on the other hand, werent a major player in free agency. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. But neither system is buying Texas as a contender in 2023. Pair that with a strong bullpen and a productive lineup. Kyle Tucker will now be seen as one of the offensive leaders, along with slugger Yordan Alvarez. They could match that in 2022. The Chicago White Sox can start looking at designs for their 2022 AL Central champions shirts and hats. Plus, in the NL West, the Dodgers are awesome and the Giants are coming off a 107-win season. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. The tip-off is set for 7:30 pm ET at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. That's because Major League Baseball is on a run of 100-win teams. Way-Too-Early 2022 MLB Predictions. The Mariners may have somethingto say about that, though, making some big moves in hopes of ending baseball's longest postseason drought dating back to 2001. The pitching staff is worrisome. April 7, 2022 2:14pm More On: mlb preview 2022 MLB video preview: Joel Sherman and Mike Vaccaro on who to watch, what's changing and how far Yankees and Mets can go in 2022 The Piratesremain fully in rebuild mode, but the young talent in the system is starting to reach the big leagues. TeamRankings.com is not affiliated with the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) or March Madness Athletic Association, neither of which has supplied, reviewed, approved or endorsed the material on this site. We felt great about New Yorks rotation trio and even liked some of the depth behind it. If Jack Flaherty is unavailable for a majority of the season, though, that significantly changes the Cardinals outcome. As for Oakland, it already traded Chris Bassitt, Matt Olson and Matt Chapman. That doesn't mean anyone should sleep on New York. Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. 2022 MLB preseason predictions: World Series, MVP and Cy Young bets we're counting on this year. With the money saved by choosing Olson over Freddie Freeman, Atlanta signed Kenley Jansen and Collin McHugh. There's certainly a void in the lineup without Tatis (and once his wrist is fully recovered, do we trust his shoulder to stay put the rest of the way?) 1. With considerable improvement expected from Ronald Acua Jr. and Ozzie Albies, ZiPS thinks Atlanta is in good shape, projecting the club for another tie with the Mets at 94 wins apiece. EX. Paired with the expanded 12-team playoff field and the opportunities afforded by the universal designated hitter, more clubs were active in March than expected, setting up some interesting postseason races for the new season. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. The Duke Blue Devils (22-8, 13-6 ACC) finish the season against the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11, 11-8) Saturday in Chapel Hill. The Los Angeles Dodgers might have lost the NL West in 2021, but theres no doubt this is the best team in the division entering the 2022 season. Back # WL Div GB # AL WL Pct GB # WL Div GB # Instead, they missed the playoffs. The slugging corner infielders of Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado make up a powerful middle-of-the-order tandem, and Tommy Edman should help at the top of the lineup. They've lost key names over the past several years from George Springer to Justin Verlander (for a season due to injury) and now, most recently, Correa. Until those issues are addressed, even a .500 record feels unlikely. What is surprising, however, is that ZiPS also puts the Giants squarely in this race at 88-74. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors
After signing Corey Seager, Marcus Semien and Jon Gray for a combined $556 million in 2021, the Rangers inked Jacob deGrom, Andrew Heaney, Nathan Eovaldi and Martn Prez and traded for Jake Odorizzi this offseason. Bryan Reynolds was a highlight for the team in 2021 as he earned an All-Star nod, and Ke'Bryan Hayes showed potential to be the next face of the franchise. It isn't that simple, even if it sounds like it should be. It does not expect full seasons out of both Trout and Ohtani, who have not in their four years together each had seasons where they both appeared in at least 120 games. by Retrosheet. A young Tigers team will take another step forward . They'll be one of the best home teams in baseball this year. MLB 2022 win totals: Predicting every team's record for the new season. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location,
3 (Freddy Peralta) and a potential Rookie of the year candidate (Aaron Ashby). This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. MLB is back, but will fans be after ugly offseason? PECOTA has the Halos four games ahead of the Mariners and gives them a 54.9% chance of reaching the postseason, the seventh-highest odds in the AL. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023 MLB section, register for a free account . The team has pieces that will help it win games, with Frankie Montas at the front of that rotation and top prospect Cristian Pache immediately slotting into the outfield with Ramon Laureano. . 3. This team is largely the same one that went on a 17-game winning streak at the end of the season to blaze past the Reds, Phillies and Padres to capture the second wild-card and sneak into the playoffs. 1:51. Jesus Luzardo wasn't sharp in his Miami debut, but he's shown off his electric skillset and sky-high potential in Spring Training and will likely be a popular breakout pick. The rotation looks well-rounded with three experienced starters at the top in Marcus Stroman, Kyle Hendricks and Wade Miley. 1 overall spot in the AL. 103 / 103+59 OR 103 / 162 = .636 OR 63.6%. Despite believing that the Astros are more likely to win the pennant, it sees the Rays as a slightly more likely team to win the World Series. Are the Braves even with the Mets, or way behind? The Guardiansfeel like the biggest surprise in the division. PECOTA is much less bullish on the Giants, giving them a winning percentage below .500 and less than a 1% chance of winning the division. I like mid-90s for Blue Jays wins in 2022, and that gets us home here. We saw the Houston Astros add another division title to their collection last season despite the surprise surge from the Seattle Mariners. Rather astounding. The fourth and final 2022-23 regular-season meeting in the Battle of Florida is set for Tuesday as the Florida Panthers head to Tampa to take on the Lightning and their No.1 home offense. MLB predictions for the AL East are the most fun, theyll even vary on a weekly basis. The bullpen and rotation are stronger than last season and the lineup will be productive. The reason the model likes the Cardinals over Milwaukee comes from the lack of trust in the Brewers' lineup, but if Willy Adames can repeat and Christian Yelich can bounce back somewhere closer to his 2019 levels, it could have just enough to support Milwaukee's tremendous pitching staff. Statistical data provided by Gracenote. The NL Central hasnt had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. The Angels are playoff contenders and the Rangers aren't. If there werent enough concerns, early IL stints for Evan Longoria and Lamonte Wade Jr. heighten worries with the Giants lineup and its diminishing depthj. However, the starting rotation just doesnt seem good enough in a long season. The 2020 World Series champions have +600 odds to lift the Commissioner's Trophy in 2022, while the Pirates, Orioles and Arizona Diamondbacks are tied for the lowest at +25000. The Rangerswere the talk of the offseason before the lockout when they made two major splashy signings in bringing in Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to produce maybe the best middle-infield combination in baseball. The results of each simulation are tallied together to create the most likely outcomes of the divisions, playoffs and World Series. Unfortunately, the starting rotation and lineup arent remotely good enough to even challenge for 72 wins. MLB.com. You famously cannot predict baseball. Today's MLB slate is very busy, and the first game is at 3:10 pm ET. 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G W L W% RDif RS/G RA/G G W L W% RDif RS/G A complete list of this year's voters: . Derek Jeter left the Miami Marlins for a reason, he doesnt believe this team is all-in on winnings. But what the model really likes is the rotation. New York Mets. Bringing in Avisail Garcia and Jorge Soler adds some thump to the outfield in an outfield that has been inconsistent in recent years. The versatile Max Muncy will hit anywhere he's playing, and Justin Turner has shown no signs of aging as he heads into his age 36 season. We also like the move to acquire both Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and . Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? They also made big splashes by signing Rodon, Alex Cobb and Matthew Boyd, who will only make this rotation stronger. Opening Day is set for Thursday (for 14 teams, at least), and thankfully for baseball fans, we'll still have a full, 162-game season in 2022. Close. Witt Jr. could be the future face of MLB and Melendezs bat is convincing Kansas City to give the catching prospect a shot at other positions. It's fun when you hit it and you get to show you're mature enough to be accountable and use self-deprecating humor when you lose badly. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be back before too long and joins a lineup that still features Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson and Eddie Rosario. mlb preview 2022. They added Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and 2021 All-Stars in Adam Frazier and Jesse Winker Nobody really knows what to make of theAngels. Thats everything the Milwaukee Brewers already bring to the table. Chicago still finishes atop the AL Central in our MLB predictions, but the separation is decreasing. Fans of the Yankeesare disappointed that New York wasn't able to land any major name in free agency, but that doesn't stop the model from being bullish on the Bronx Bombers' chances to make the playoffs. Were using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. If the snake-bitten franchise gets full seasons from Anthony Rendon, Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Noah Syndergaard, its a no-doubt playoff team. Sidelined until June, in a best-case scenario, that wipes out multiple wins in our MLB predictions. Last year, Casey Mize, Matt Manning and Tarik Skubal got a taste of the big leagues and showed promise, and will be expected to take it a step farther in 2022. Nov. 4, 2022. October 6th, 2022. They're expected to have the league's highest payroll in 2023, but it won't be enough. 2 spot. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. Luis Robert is a darkhorse MVP candidate, Jose Abreu is consistent and there is even more All-Star talent (Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal, Tim Anderson). 2023 Season; 2022 Season; 2021 Season; 2020 Season; 2019 Season; 2018 Season; CFB FBS. The breakout season by the Giants mixed up the run of Dodgers' dominance, but the model expects Los Angeles to reclaim its crown in 2022. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. We're on to the American League West in our 2022 MLB standings predictions. The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. Only enabled for screen sizes > 1024px. The rotation has the biggest question marks, but the signing of Zack Greinke to go along with Brady Singer, Brad Keller and Carlos Hernandez should be able to give the team quality innings. . I'm not a Phillies fan. The Sporting News' model sees the Blue Jays as a slim favorite to win the division over the Yankees, Rays and Red Sox, but it expects all four teams to reach the playoffs. It's Cleveland vs. Minnesota for the AL Central title. There wasn't a better trio of starting pitchers in baseball last year than those onthe Brewers. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. The speedy outfield of Tyler O'Neill, Harrison Bader and Dylan Carlson returns as the best defensive unit in baseball, and they're each expected to improve offensively. Support FanGraphs. Considering the randomness involved, predicting the yearly MLB saves leader might be as difficult as any stat in baseball. The reigning World Series winners emerge as the favorites to win their division, with New York and Philadelphia appearing as strong contenders for wild cards. The Sporting News is unveiling a model to project the 2022 MLB season and make predictions based on the results. The Diamondbacksfinished tied with Baltimore for the worst record in baseball in 2021, but like the Orioles, they are starting to see the future of the franchise. They've got that again in 2022. The offense is stacked with names like Luis Robert, Tim Anderson, Yoan Moncada and Jose Abreu. Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. RHP Max Scherzer inked a super lucrative three-year deal with the New York Mets, paying him an average salary of $43.3 million. 4. Major League Leaders . We also like Clevelands pitching. If the rookies can play up to their projections and immediately become impact talents, this could be an underrated team in 2022. Christian Yelich can only get better after . The Records are updated Live on the MLB Standings after each game finishes. The Mariners, as currently constructed, are going to be a better, more well-rounded baseball team in 2022 than they were in 2021. The Marinerswere the feel-good story of 2021, when out of nowhere, they rose up to post a 90-win season and nearly reach the postseason. 400. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the team's vaunted pitching staff to allow . All posts tagged "MLB" Feb. 22, 2023. . If I believe the Dodgers end the regular season with the most wins, I like my chances for hitting the over here. The retirement of Buster Posey will usher in the Joey Bart era behind the plate. Here are 10 predictions that go against general public sentiment, but I still think have a decent shot at happening. Here's who they think will rule the ninth inning in 2023. The biggest thing we like about the Rays is their wealth of pitching, a crucial factor in a season where arms will be tested more than ever. It's a good, though not great, mix of position players. Philadelphia Phillies (82-80) The bullpen (7.06 ERA in '20) won . 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. I do think this team is better and on the right track, but I don't think they'll have the kind of "luck" they did last season, say, in one-run games. Hes going to be one of the best players in MLB before long and some even think hell get MVP votes in 2022. However, there is room for improvement in the outfield and wed really want to see a No. The rotation remains the bright spot with Shane Bieber leading a staff that featured a breakout season from Cal Quantrill and solid campaigns from Triston McKenzie, Zach Plesac and Aaron Civale. The Blue Jays were widely considered to be one of the AL favorites to reach the World Series entering 2022, but they ended up finishing seven games behind the Yankees in the AL East and were swept by the Mariners in the AL Wild Card Series. The model doesn't think the signings make Texas a full-fledged contender just yet, but it sees this as a major step in the right direction. Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? Thats two huge additions, creating a lineup that should be among the NL leaders in home runs and RBI. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. Because of a below-average lineup, on its best days, the Marlins exciting rotation will be wasted. Some major changes await the 2022 MLB season. since the new labor deal came together on March 10, and his new 11-year, $182 million contract, seemingly have to prove themselves all over again, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Bookmark this page for in-season updates to our MLB predictions. Behind the Jays, it could go either way between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. The introduction of the DH to the NL should help Dominic Smith and Robinson Cano produce at a higher rate as well. November 17, 2021 Mitch Hill MLB. by Handedness. Thats enough to push them ahead of New York in our MLB predictions. The bullpen lost Jansen, but added Craig Kimbrel to go along with Blake Treinen and Brusdar Graterol. TEX Texas Rangers. This year is going to be a bit of a mixed bag forthe Nationals. The Mets committed nearly $500 million to free agents this offseason, re-signing Edwin Daz and Brandon Nimmo while also inking Justin Verlander, Kodai Senga and Jos Quintana to replace departed starters deGrom, Chris Bassitt and Taijuan Walker. The Cherries are 19th in the standings with 21 points but trail Leeds United by one for 17th place. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted
The White Sox, who play in one of the weaker divisions, are the favorite to come away with the No. They have the best hitter of this generation in Mike Trout and the most talented player of all time in Shohei Ohtani, yet they continue to finish below .500. The Rockies don't figure to be in the mix for the playoffs in 2022, but that lineup could be fun to watch. Spring Training is in full swing, free agency is off the rails, and baseball is officially back. As far as my place in all this, feel free to jump over to my SportsLine page to see my picking acumen from last season. MORE:Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat. Joey Votto has never hit 40 homers in a season. Disappointment in 2021 compelled the New York Mets to spend even more money this offseason. The system also thinks theres still a gulf between the Dodgers and Padres, projecting Los Angeles for 96.1 wins and the Padres for 92.6. filling out their roster with solid role players. The Phillieswere one of several teams competing near the end of the season for a wild card spot before the Cardinals went on their wild winning streak to take away that final spot. That'll change this year, despite his being projected to hit ten to fifteen fewer homers than that.